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Technical systems transitions

Medieval agrarian : 12th to 18th century

Industrial : 18th to 20th century

Cognitive : 21st-22nd century

Materials

Wood, stone, iron. Iron was mainly a military material (swords and armour). After the departure for the crusades (1096), its use spreads to agriculture (shovels, pickaxes, rakes, harrows, scythes). The iron ploughshare allows major land clearings

Steel (for all machinery), then concrete (a symbol of major cities), copper (for electricity and plumbing), rubber (for tyres), then aluminium (for aeronautics). Power is measured in millions of tons of steel, coal or oil

Birth of a diversity of materials. Many thousand varieties of polymers, elastomers, glues..., in all imaginable forms : threads for reinforcements (Kevlar, carbon), fibres for textiles (polyester), membranes for inflatable structures (mylar), foams for padding of mattresses, seats..., isolation of partitions... (polyurethane). One can almost create custom-made polymers, able to meet a predetermined specification. Alloys, ceramics, composites, glass increase the potential adaptability of matter even more. Thus, the manufacturer has a surfeit of choices, it becomes necessary to use databases and "cost-analysis" methods to know where he stands. Generally materials become lighter in all fields

Energy

Animal traction (yoke). The windmill known since Roman times as a milling tool, is used to cut wood, power smith's bellows, to mill cloth... It is pre-industrialization, tested out and spread by the Cistercian monasteries

Steam engine (for trains and motive power for factories), then the internal combustion engine (for the car) and the jet engine (for aircrafts). The source of energy is chemical : combustion. The industrial system will continue developing until exhaustion of combustible deposits (coal, oil, gas)

Networking of electricity and harnessing of energy. Energy wastage of industrial society (up to 7 tons oil equivalent per inhabitant and per year, or 117 times the average weight of a human being at 60 kg decreases, as resources are not inexhaustible. Electrical techniques (micro-waves, plasmas, chopped currents) allow supply of energy in precisely required quantity exactly where needed, and causing less pollution (for example electric or hybrid cars). Electrification also means immediate availability, therefore a change over one generation, of system of household appliances - lighting, refrigerator, washing machines, household robots...

Life & Nature

Nature Seed and animal selection, prompted by the first agronomy manuals circulating between monasteries. Agriculture takes off from the level where the crop is just sufficient to resow, once population and animals have been fed. Deforestation caused by land clearings. Agrarian systems develop until the land is saturated (1315)

Vaccination (Pasteur), followed by antibiotics (Fleming) lessen microbial diseases. The industrialization of agriculture, of animal husbandry, of fishing increases productivity and depopulates the countryside. The pollution risks make necessary the constitution of protected areas (national parks) and the development of green technologies

Biotechnology can directly interfere with the chemical molecules constituting living creatures, not only observing and displaying their form and composition on computer, but also, cutting, grafting, creating hybrids. The prospective of manufacturing to order living beings equipped with predetermined capacities, to order, confronts humanity with vital responsibilities of greater complexity than ever before. Having impoverished its natural heritage through industrialization and tropical deforestation, it will undoubtedly need to compensate by enriching it with artificial species, able to form stable and complete ecosystems (biospheres) among themselves

Rythms

The village bell rings the seven canonical hours. Life in the fields passes in rhythm to these hours as was the case already for life in the monasteries. Mechanical clocks appears

Chronometry in the "scientific" organization of work, the time scale is measured in tenth of seconds: separation of tasks, monitoring, mass production

The time scale of a microprocessor is measured in billionth of seconds, that of an optic computer in million billionth of seconds. Human perception remains at a level of a tenth of a second. Computers are already from ten to a hundred million times faster than the human brain, on which they can impose their rhythms. They immerse their subjects in virtual reality universes designed either for teaching technical know-how (piloting, surgery, etc.) or for ensnaring them (video games, etc.)

Space &trade

Reconstitution of local and regional markets (11th-12th centuries). The stern post rudder (1242) facilitates the progress of merchant shipping, notably in the Baltic : establishment of a Hanseatic system (13th century) around Lübeck, Danzig, Königsberg...

Railways, car, aircraft : space becomes smaller. One can go from one town on earth to another in less than a day. World market for basic products (petrol, steel, non-ferrous metals, coffee, cocoa, timber, etc.), for capital goods (machine-tools), and consumer goods (cars, cameras, etc.)

After a phase of urban implosion, new conquest of inhabitable space, made possible by the generalization of telepresence (videophones, etc.) in real or deferred time, and the skill to create local, autonomous biospheres. "Challenge-towns" fit for habitation - in inhospitable areas, on the oceans, in interstellar space, etc. Trade is no longer concerned with bulky staple commodities, but with artistic or technical creations, data held in databases, the programming of future achievements. Distances are no longer physical but cultural : the difficulty to be understood in another language or another culture

Communication & education

Technical information is communicated in Latin, thanks to the work of copiers, within the transnational network of the monasteries. Charlemagne's school. Birth of the critical university (scholastic)

Printing initially has religious consequences (Protestantism), then literary (classical age) then technical from the 18th century on (the Encyclopaedia) ; spread of a technical culture. Universal education project after 1850

Telephony - the web of the telecommunication network creates a kind of "planetary brain". It is possible to get in touch with anyone immediately and everywhere, by sound or image. The new technical system develops up to a level of saturation of the human mind. Individuals have to protect themselves against communication. Mass education teaches how to navigate in a sea of knowledge. It is stimulated by personal contact with teachers, but it operates within the terrain of a cultural heritage stored in artificial memories (laser discs and others)

Social territory & organizations

The earth is the basis of the resources necessary for family, village, feudal survival. It is therefore at stake during battle. The object of ownership, it is passed on to descendants. The feudal hierarchy, a military caste, is the protector of the land, autarchic guarantor of security. Market towns are created to develop trade, organized on an "isonomic" model, first in the Hanseatic League, then in Mediterranean region (Genoa, Venice)

The means of production (factories, machinery...), i.e. capital, form the basis of resources. Survival depends on production, supplies and outlets. This sphere is unstable. One has to be active to maintain one's position. The Nation-State preserves economic and social security; companies assume the risks. Beginning of a separation of powers, necessary for openness to innovation

The resource base which ensures survival is personal know-how. It can be concerned with leading-edge, sophisticated technology or on the contrary go back to an ancestral knowledge, such as the art of surviving amidst ice floes or in the desert. It requires many years to acquire it, there is constant risk of obsolescence and, unlike the former heritage, it can only be transmitted through effort. Wealth is an internal attribute. Intellectual property is one of the possible legal statutes of this new heritage. Development of protective organizations, with a separation between the three powers (judiciary, legislature and executive). The notion of business is extended from profit-making organizations to other organizations which still have to balance their resources and their expenditure. They support explorations and creations